SAAR Archives

Cox Automotive Forecast: Improved Inventory Levels, Higher Fleet Sales Expected to Support Improving January U.S. Auto Sales 01/25/2023 Updated, Feb. 2, 2023 – While January sales reporting is not yet complete, and our team’s analysis of the results won’t be finished until early next week, the month did produce some solid sales reports and signs of market strength. Strong numbers from Hyundai and Kia were the headline, and Honda posted a much-needed year-over-year increase. Other makers reported respectable year-over-year gains, with only Toyota reporting… Read Article

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Cox Automotive Forecast: U.S. Auto Sales Expected to Finish 2022 Down 8% Year Over Year, as General Motors Reclaims Top Spot, Honda and Nissan Fall Significantly 12/28/2022 Updated, Jan. 4, 2023 – While sales in December likely came in slightly higher than the initial Cox Automotive forecast, and above year-ago levels, the bottom-line result will hardly be cheered as a success. In fact, December sales continue to demonstrate a softening of retail demand, although demand has not collapsed. Sales in December, and in the months prior, were aided by improving new-vehicle inventory levels… Read Article

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Cox Automotive Forecast: November New-Vehicle Sales Expected to Jump 10.8% Year Over Year, as Inventory Levels Continue to Improve 11/28/2022 Updated, Dec. 1, 2022 – When considering the new-vehicle market in the U.S., the Cox Automotive Economics and Industry Insights team has been trying to balance two distinct market realities: supply and demand. For much of 2022, tight inventory (supply) has been an anchor holding back the market. And indeed, with inventory historically low, new-vehicle sales have been depressed. Through the end of Q3, the new-vehicle market… Read Article

new-vehicle sales sales forecast SAAR Press Releases

Cox Automotive October Forecast: New-Vehicle Inventory Levels Are Improving, But Sales Remain Low 10/25/2022 UPDATED, Nov. 2, 2022 – Spurred in part by improving inventory, early indications of new-vehicle sales in October suggest sales volumes will come in above the Cox Automotive forecast. Gains from October 2021 were all but guaranteed, as last October was a historically bad month for new-vehicle sales. But reports from Hyundai, Kia, Toyota and other Asian brands indicate total industry sales volumes may be higher… Read Article

new-vehicle sales sales forecast SAAR Press Releases

Cox Automotive Lowers Full-Year New-Vehicle Sales Forecast as September Volumes Hold Steady at Low Level; Q3 Sales Nearly Equal to 2021 Levels 09/28/2022 UPDATED, Oct. 3, 2022 – With the books closing on third-quarter new-vehicle sales, the market indeed—as forecast—is stuck in a low gear. At a brand level, sales results are markedly inconsistent. Hyundai and Kia are confirming record results; General Motors and Toyota finished the quarter with strong numbers. Others, including Buick, Nissan and Honda, continue to struggle. At an industry level, just the opposite is true. New-vehicle sales… Read Article

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Cox Automotive Forecast: August U.S. Auto Sales Languish at Slow Pace With Persistent Headwinds 08/25/2022 UPDATED, Sept. 2, 2022 – Calendar year 2022 has provided plenty of great examples of, “I’ve never seen that before.” And that is certainly the case with August 2022 new-vehicle sales. The Cox Automotive Industry Insights team is tallying the August totals and will have more to share next week, but early indications are that overall sales were consistent with July and June before that. Our… Read Article

new-vehicle sales sales forecast SAAR Press Releases

Cox Automotive Lowers Full-Year New-Vehicle Sales Forecast as Persistent Supply Problems Continue to Hold Back Auto Industry 06/28/2022 UPDATED, July 5, 2022 – The Cox Automotive Industry Insights team had expected a year-over-year decline in June auto sales. The actual decline, however, was even greater than expected. Sales last month came in at approximately 1.125 million; the forecast was for 1.2 million. Some declines were particularly notable, with large year-over-year declines at Buick, Honda, Mazda, Nissan and others. The Honda drop was hard to… Read Article

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Cox Automotive Forecast: May Auto Sales Expected to Fall to Slowest Pace in 2022 05/25/2022 UPDATED, June 2, 2022 – May new-vehicle sales came in lower than the Cox Automotive forecast issued last week. Our team was expecting a year-over-year volume decline of roughly 28%; results indicate a drop of more than 29%. Auto sales in May are traditionally quite strong, spurred in part by the long Memorial Day Weekend. But that was not the case this year. Overall new-vehicle buying… Read Article

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Cox Automotive March Forecast: Slow March Auto Sales to Cap Weakest Q1 in a Decade 03/28/2022 UPDATED, April 1, 2022 – With a trifecta of issues impacting the new-vehicle market in the first quarter – low inventory, low incentives, high prices – sales have mostly been stuck in low gear. Our Industry Insights team was expecting lower year-over-year sales and spoke to that point during the Q1 2022 U.S. Auto Sales Forecast and Industry Insights webcast earlier this week, and early data… Read Article

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Cox Automotive February Forecast: Tight Inventory Keeps U.S. Auto Sales From Gaining Traction 02/23/2022 UPDATED, March 2, 2022 – February sales finished near 1.052 million, slightly below the Cox Automotive forecast, as tight new-vehicle inventory held back sales even more than expected. Since August, monthly sales volume has averaged near 1.05 million, and February was no exception. Until available supply at dealerships makes a significant improvement, the Cox Automotive Industry Insights team is forecasting new-vehicle sales will remain stuck at this million-unit level. As… Read Article

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