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10 Things to Know About April Sales

The books on April automotive sales in the U.S. were closed by most automakers on Wednesday, May 1.  Since then, our team of analysts and experts have been combing through it all. They look at the mainstream makers, not the niche players such as Ferrari and Bentley, and sort as much data as they can. … Continued

Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Reflect Spring Bounce By Increasing in April

Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix-, mileage-, and seasonally adjusted basis) increased 1.81% month-over-month in April. This brought the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index to 138.4, a 4.5% increase from a year ago. On a year-over-year basis, most major market segments saw seasonally adjusted price gains in April. Midsize cars and pickups outperformed the overall … Continued

Large Dealer Groups Sell More Used Units in Q1, Offsetting Slow New-Vehicle Sales

New-vehicle sales are off to a slow start in 2019, down 2% in Q1. It would have been worse without strong fleet sales. Retail sales were down 4% in the first three months of 2019. Fleet was up 6%. The used-vehicle market, on the other hand, continues to see favorable performance. Affordability concerns driven by … Continued

CPO Sales Continue to Grow

Affordability pressures generally benefit the used market and strengthen demand as a result of buyers being priced out of the new market. New-vehicle prices are at record highs and interest rates are at 8-year highs. Perhaps this is one of the reasons that we saw sales of certified pre-owned vehicles increase to 677,038, up 0.4% … Continued

Strong Q1 Fleet Numbers Stave Off Larger New-Vehicle Sales Loss

The first-quarter of 2019 came to a close last week, with new-vehicle sales in March coming in slightly stronger than anticipated as the quarter closed. Still, sales in Q1 2019 were down 2.7% versus year-ago levels. Had it not been for strong fleet numbers the results would have been worse. Retail sales were down 4% through … Continued

Fleet Sales See Continued Strength, Increase 16% in March

Like the used market, the new-vehicle market showed weakness in March. March new-vehicle sales were down 2.2% year-over-year, with one less selling day compared to March 2018. However, the March 2019 SAAR came in at 17.5 million, improving versus last year’s 17.2 million. Cars continue to see declines, as sales in March fell 7.9% compared … Continued

Auto Loan Rates Now at Eight-Year Highs

One of the most intriguing trends for the year is what has happened and is happening with interest rates. At the end of last year, the Fed remained hawkish and very resolute about pushing rates higher in 2019. After a stock correction, they turned to patience as the mantra. And this month the yield curve … Continued

2019 Wholesale Volume Through Digital Channels Expected to Increase While In-Lane to Drop Slightly

The wholesale market plays a central role in facilitating the flow of used vehicle inventory. Like 2018, this year is poised to be a great year for offsite digital volume growth. That does not mean traditional auction volume will collapse, but growth in the flow of vehicles will favor non-tradition channels and not the physical … Continued

Chevrolet Bolt EV Gets Jolt From Reduced Tax Break

The already struggling Chevrolet Bolt electric car got another jolt this week when the federal tax break on it was reduced. Beginning April 1, the once $7,500 federal tax break for purchasing an electric vehicle began winding down for General Motors’ EVs, like the Bolt, and plug-in hybrids, like the Chevrolet Volt that is being … Continued

Segment Shifts Drive Higher Average MSRP While Affordability Concerns Increase

You can visualize the relentless rise of new-vehicle prices in the U.S. market in many ways. Average transaction price – ATP – is a common measure, showing the amount consumers pay for a vehicle, including all rebates and incentives. Or look to the average monthly loan payment for a new vehicle, which is currently more … Continued