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Tariffs: Our Insights

Smoke on Cars

Auto Loan Rates Trend Higher as Federal Reserve Cuts Rate Policy

The Federal Reserve made the first cut to rate policy so far in 2025 at the conclusion of its sixth scheduled Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for the year. The policy statement and commentary from Chair Powell after the meeting emphasized downside employment risks, but details in the decision and updated forecasts reflect divided views
September 17th 2025
4m Read
Insights

Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Increase in the First Half of September 

Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix-, mileage-, and seasonally adjusted basis) increased slightly from August in the first 15 days of September. The mid-month Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index increased from 207.4 to 207.5—a negligible month-over-month change of 0.0%—but was 2.2% higher than the full month of September 2024. The seasonal adjustment reduced the results,
September 17th 2025
5m Read
Insights

New-Vehicle Affordability Remains Stable Despite Higher Prices in August

New-vehicle affordability was stable in August, according to the latest Cox Automotive/Moody’s Analytics Vehicle Affordability Index. “Higher prices and declining incentives reduced buying power in August, but income growth offset the impact to the index,” said Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke. “As a result, new-vehicle affordability did not change month over month.” The estimated
September 16th 2025
2m Read
Market Insights

Cox Automotive Auto Market Report: September 16

Cox Automotive’s Auto Market Report video delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current automotive market. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. This video covers a wide range of topics, including consumer spending patterns, consumer sentiment, retail vehicle sales, financing rates, supply dynamics, pricing trends and leading
September 16th 2025
2m Read

EV Market Monitor – August 2025

August marked a second consecutive strong month for the electric vehicle (EV) market, with record sales and rising market share in both the new and used segments. As consumers acted quickly ahead of the Inflation Reduction Act’s tax credit expiration, Cox Automotive saw demand stay strong, inventory tighten, and incentives remain influential. These shifts signal
September 16th 2025
5m Read

Auto Market Weekly Summary

This summary features August data on inflation, used-vehicle sales and prices, auto loan access and performance, as well as initial September consumer sentiment. Inflation is picking up from the impact of tariffs, auto loan access declined in August as auto loan performance remained shaky, and September has started with weaker consumer sentiment. Inflation Increased in
September 15th 2025
5m Read
Smoke on Cars

Auto Loan Rates Trend Higher as Federal Reserve Cuts Rate Policy

The Federal Reserve made the first cut to rate policy so far in 2025 at the conclusion of its sixth scheduled Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for the year. The policy statement and commentary from Chair Powell after the meeting emphasized downside employment risks, but details in the decision and updated forecasts reflect divided views
September 17th 2025
4m Read
Insights

Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Increase in the First Half of September 

Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix-, mileage-, and seasonally adjusted basis) increased slightly from August in the first 15 days of September. The mid-month Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index increased from 207.4 to 207.5—a negligible month-over-month change of 0.0%—but was 2.2% higher than the full month of September 2024. The seasonal adjustment reduced the results,
September 17th 2025
5m Read

Used-Vehicle Inventory Sets New High for 2025 as Sales Continue to Climb

Used-vehicle inventory levels rose at the start of September, marking the highest point so far in 2025, according to the Cox Automotive analysis of vAuto Live Market View data. 2.21M Total UnsoldUsed Vehiclesas of Sept. 1, 2025 43 Days’ Supply $25,393 Average Listing Price 72,557 Average Mileage Nationwide, dealers – both franchised and independent – had a
September 12th 2025
3m Read
News

New-Inventory Holds Steady Amid Mixed Market Signals

New-vehicle inventory is gradually increasing as next-model-year vehicles arrive and measures to encourage electric vehicle purchases take effect. Sales in August were higher compared to previous months and the previous year; new-vehicle inventory and days’ supply have declined year over year, based on Cox Automotive’s analysis of vAuto Live Market View data. 2.76M Total Inventoryas
September 11th 2025
4m Read

Auto Credit Conditions Tighten Slightly in August as Approval Rate Marks 2025 Peak

In August 2025, the Dealertrack Credit Availability Index signaled a modest tightening in auto credit conditions after several months of improvement. The All-Loans Index edged down to 97.8 from 98.0 in July, indicating that while credit remains broadly accessible, lenders showed slightly more caution compared to the prior month. Despite this, credit access remains significantly
September 10th 2025
4m Read
News

Kelley Blue Book Report: August New-Vehicle Prices Rise as 2026 Models Hit Lots, EV Sales Accelerate

ATLANTA, Sept. 10, 2025 – New-vehicle prices moved higher in August as more model year 2026 vehicles hit dealer lots and automakers work to offset higher costs. According to estimates from Kelley Blue Book, price increases accelerated in August as both key measures – average transaction price (ATP) and manufacturer’s suggested retail prices (MSRPs) – increased
September 10th 2025
4m Read