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As the Clock Winds Down on a Year Steered by Tight Inventory and Rising Loan Rates, Cox Automotive Offers 10 Predictions for 2023

ATLANTA, Dec. 19, 2022 – With the start of the New Year just weeks away, the Cox Automotive Industry Insights team offers its expectations for the U.S. automotive market in 2023. By nearly all measures, 2022 was a difficult year for both the industry and the consumer, marked by historically low new-vehicle inventories, high prices, … Continued

Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices See Increase in First Half of December

Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix-, mileage-, and seasonally adjusted basis) increased 1.6% from November in the first 15 days of December. The mid-month Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index rose to 202.6, down 14.2% from the full month of December 2021. The non-adjusted price change in the first half of December was a decline of … Continued

Auto Market Weekly Summary: December 19

Inflation declined in November, according to the Consumer Price Index, but prices remain high. Still worried about inflation, the Fed remains hawkish about pushing rates higher early in 2023 after increasing rates by 50 basis points last week following four straight 75-BPs increases. Auto loan performance deteriorated further in November. The default rate in November … Continued

Used-Vehicle Prices Keep Falling as Inventory Stabilizes, Sales Drop

Revised, Jan. 13, 2023 – Used-vehicle asking prices fell again through the month of November to their lowest average since last spring as inventory stabilized and sales fell, according to the Cox Automotive analysis of vAuto Available Inventory data. 2.33M Total UnsoldUsed Vehiclesas of Nov. 28, 2022 54 Days’ Supply $27,156 Average Listing Price 69,916 … Continued

New-Vehicle Affordability Declines Again in November, Monthly Payment Hits $762

New-vehicle affordability declined again in November as auto loan rates reached another 20-year high, and the average new-vehicle price increased and set a record, according to the Cox Automotive/Moody’s Analytics Vehicle Affordability Index. The number of median weeks of income needed to purchase the average new vehicle in November increased to 43.3 weeks from 42.8 … Continued

Fed Slows Hikes But Says Not Done Yet

As expected, the Fed raised the target for the Federal Funds Rate by half a percentage point today, which was a smaller increase than the four straight jumbo increases that preceded the latest move. The Fed’s biggest news was that the terminal rate, meaning the ultimate peak in rates for this tightening cycle, will be … Continued

New-Vehicle Inventory Climbs in November; Prices Stay High

Revised, Jan. 12, 2023 – New-vehicle inventory volume continued to climb through November as production increased and sales slowed, according to Cox Automotive’s analysis of vAuto Available Inventory data. Unfortunately for shoppers, prices climbed in November as well. “Timing is everything,” said Charlie Chesbrough, Cox Automotive’s senior economist. “Production is finally ramping up after being … Continued

November CPO Sales Up Year Over Year, Remain on Pace to Hit Year-End Target

Certified pre-owned (CPO) sales in November fell 4.4%, just over 9,000 units, from October to finish at 198,313. However, this total is up more than 17,000 units from November 2021. Year to date, CPO sales are down over 318,000 units, or 12.4%, compared to the same time last year. Cox Automotive expects CPO sales to … Continued

As Luxury Share Grows, New-Vehicle Prices Hit Record High in November, According to Latest Kelley Blue Book Average Transaction Price Data

ATLANTA, Dec. 12, 2022 – New-vehicle inventory levels are improving, but prices remain elevated. According to data released today by Kelley Blue Book, a Cox Automotive company, the average transaction price (ATP) for a new vehicle in the United States in November 2022 hit a record high of $48,681. November prices rose 0.9% ($422) month … Continued

Auto Market Weekly Summary: December 12

Consumer credit growth accelerated in October as revolving credit increased but non-revolving credit declined. Auto loan credit access tightened sharply in November across all channels and across all lender types as every factor moved against consumers. Used-vehicle sales likely declined in November, and wholesale used-vehicle prices declined again. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index is … Continued