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Expert Perspectives

Used-Vehicle Inventory Sets New High for 2025 as Sales Slow

Used-vehicle inventory levels rose again at the start of October, reaching a new high for 2025, according to the Cox Automotive analysis of vAuto Live Market View data. 2.26M Total Inventoryas of Oct. 6, 2025 48 Days’ Supply $25,825 Average Listing Price Nationwide, dealers – both franchised and independent – had a total supply of 2.26 million …

October 17th 2025
2 min read
Insights

Used-Vehicle Retail Sales Drop 5.2% in September as Affordability Pressures Mount

According to an analysis of Cox Automotive’s vAuto Live Market View data estimates, retail used-vehicle sales in September1 decreased month over month compared to August.  A total of 1.42 million used vehicles were sold at retail – from both franchised and independent dealers – during September, down 5.2% month over month and up 6.6% year over year. Days’ …

October 17th 2025
3 min read
Insights

Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Decrease in the First Half of October

Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix-, mileage-, and seasonally adjusted basis) decreased from September in the first 15 days of October. The mid-month Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index fell to 203.6, showing a gain of 0.4% from the full month of October 2024. The seasonal adjustment amplified the impact for the month, as it was …

October 17th 2025
4 min read
Expert Perspectives

EV Market Monitor – September 2025

September marked a third consecutive strong month for the electric vehicle (EV) market, helping push Q3 sales to a record high. As buyers rushed to take advantage of the final days of the federal EV tax credit, demand remained elevated, inventory tightened sharply, and incentives continued to shape sales across both new and used segments. …

October 16th 2025
5 min read
Expert Perspectives

New-Vehicle Inventory Increases as Sales Slow in Late September

New-vehicle inventory increased in September as the sales pace slowed in the final two weeks of the month. Days’ supply increased as well. The volume of model-year-2026 vehicles continues to grow, pushing the average listing price higher as expected. At the start of October, roughly 41% of available new vehicles were MY2026 units, up from …

October 16th 2025
4 min read
Insights

September Incentives Hit High, but Record Prices Keep New-Vehicle Affordability Tight

New-vehicle affordability in September hit its lowest level since December 2024, according to the latest Cox Automotive/Moody’s Analytics Vehicle Affordability Index. “Higher incentives and income growth weren’t enough to offset September’s new-vehicle price increase,” said Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke. “Even though incentive spending was at its highest level this year, the average transaction …

October 15th 2025
2 min read
Smoke on Cars

Cox Automotive Auto Market Report: October 14

Cox Automotive’s Auto Market Report video delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current automotive market. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. This video covers a wide range of topics, including consumer spending patterns, consumer sentiment, retail vehicle sales, financing rates, supply dynamics, pricing trends and leading …

October 14th 2025
5 min read
Insights

Kelley Blue Book Report: New-Vehicle Average Transaction Price Hits Record High in September, Surges Past $50,000 for the First Time Ever

In September, the average transaction price (ATP) of a new vehicle in the U.S. was above $50,000 for the first time, according to new estimates released today by Kelley Blue Book. New-vehicle prices have risen steadily for more than a year, with the pace of the increases accelerating in recent months. Despite higher prices, retail …

October 13th 2025
4 min read
Insights

Auto Market Weekly Summary

Key Highlights We are now more than a week into the government shutdown, but last week we had plenty of non-government data to give us a read on the auto market with initial details on new-vehicle prices in September, used-vehicle sales and prices in September, consumer credit in August, and auto credit access and auto …

October 13th 2025
4 min read
Insights

Access to Auto Credit Little Changed in September

In September 2025, the Dealertrack Credit Availability Index resumed its upward trend of improved credit access after a slight tightening in the previous month. The All-Loans Index edged up to 98.1 in September from 97.9 in August, marking a 0.2-point increase. This resumes the broader run of loosening credit conditions that began in late summer …

October 10th 2025
4 min read