Insights

Key Highlights This summary does not include the usual employment report due to the Federal government shutdown over the budget impasse. However, pending home and vehicle sales data for September were released, along with a job openings and turnover report showing mixed results and another decrease in consumer confidence. JOB OPENINGS AND TURNOVERS: Data for August …

Cox Automotive’s Auto Market Report video delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current automotive market. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. This video covers a wide range of topics, including consumer spending patterns, consumer sentiment, retail vehicle sales, financing rates, supply dynamics, pricing trends and leading …

This summary features revised Q2 GDP data, home sales and personal income and spending data from August, and consumer sentiment data from September. Economic growth was stronger than initially estimated driven by stronger consumer spending, and consumer spending was stronger than expected in August. Housing trends were mixed in August, but demand could improve in …

A replay of the Cox Automotive Q3 2025 Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call held on Thursday, Sept. 25, is available. Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke and the Economic and Industry Insights team provided an update on the U.S. automotive market for the third quarter, covering the new, used and electrified markets with insights and data from Cox Automotive. …

Cox Automotive provides forecasts on the new and used vehicle markets, leasing, fleet and CPO sales, and the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index. Updates to the full-year 2025 forecasts were announced during the Q3 Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call on Sept. 25. The Economic and Industry Insights team reviews the forecasts quarterly and updates …

Updated, Oct. 2, 2025 – The new-vehicle sales pace in September remained above 16 million and was better than year-ago results, boosted by record electric vehicle (EV) sales and continued strong commercial demand. Initial September results show the seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of sales likely finished at 16.4 million, just above the Cox Automotive forecast of 16.2 …

The Cox Automotive Q3 2025 Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call will be held today, Sept. 25, at 11 a.m. EDT. The presentation is available for download. Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke and the Economic and Industry Insights team will provide an update on the U.S. automotive market for the third quarter, covering the new, used …

The federal tax credits that helped make electric vehicles attainable for millions of Americans are winding down. For many, that raises the question: will adoption stall without that $7,500 headline incentive? At Cox Automotive, we believe EV adoption will continue, but not automatically. To maintain momentum, automakers, policymakers, and industry stakeholders must stay focused on …

The Cox Automotive Q3 2025 Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call will be hosted on Thursday, Sept. 25, at 11 a.m. EDT, shortly before the auto industry closes the book on the third quarter. Join us for this event hosted by Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke and the Cox Automotive Economic and Industry Insights team. This 60-minute session …

This summary presents August data on retail sales, new construction, declining jobless claims, and the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve in 2025. Consumer spending during the summer exceeded prior expectations, while the housing market remained weak. Lower rates should provide a boost to business investment and equity performance. Although the Fed does not …