The Auto Market Brief – Ep. #14

How are tariffs, global competition, and shifting profit models changing the rules of automotive?

In this episode of The Auto Market Brief, Erin Keating and Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jeremy Robb break down the latest economic data, dealer and automaker earnings, and the broader forces reshaping the automotive industry. While inflation showed signs of easing and the automotive market remains resilient, new challenges are emerging across the global landscape.

Key Takeaways

Dealer profitability continues to evolve:
Public dealer groups reported resilient results, but profitability continues shifting toward fixed operations, parts, service, and F&I as front-end vehicle margins normalize.

Consumer affordability pressures remain a concern:
While North America remains a critical source of profitability for many manufacturers, Chinese automakers continue to gain influence globally, creating new competitive challenges across international markets.

Tariffs are becoming a permanent business consideration:
Automakers are increasingly planning around tariffs, supply chain requirements, and trade policy realities rather than treating them as temporary disruptions.

The discussion also explores automaker earnings, fixed operations growth, trade policy, connected vehicle security, supply chain strategy, and the growing role geopolitics plays in shaping the future of automotive competition

00:00 Intro

00:59 GDP, Consumer Spending, and Economic Signals

05:19 Dealer Earnings and the Shift Toward Fixed Ops

11:06 Inflation, Interest Rates, and Consumer Health

18:09 Automaker Earnings Reveal a Growing Divide

20:15 China’s Rising Influence on the Global Auto Market

22:30 Tariffs Become Part of the Business Reality

26:15 Connected Vehicle Security and Ownership Questions

27:25 The New Rules of Automotive

28:42 Outro