The Auto Market Brief – Ep. #18

How are higher interest rates, rising diesel prices, and new regulatory requirements reshaping the automotive market?

In this episode of The Auto Market Brief, host Erin Keating is joined by Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jeremy Robb to examine the latest Federal Reserve updates, wholesale market trends, and the economic forces helping support continued vehicle demand. They also explore several significant regulatory developments that could affect dealers, lenders, automakers, and consumers in the months ahead.

Key Takeaways

Fed Signals and Consumer Impact:
Jeremy breaks down the Federal Reserve’s latest rate decision, what surprised markets in the Fed’s economic projections, and how policymakers continue balancing inflation concerns against a resilient economy. The discussion also explores how higher interest rates affect vehicle affordability and how perceptions of higher borrowing costs can affect vehicle purchase decisions.

Wholesale Market Trends and Diesel Price Pressures:
The conversation also explores the wholesale market, where the latest Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index shows prices softening modestly year over year. Jeremy explains emerging depreciation patterns, including the outsized impact of one-year-old vehicles and how elevated fuel costs are influencing full-size trucks, SUVs, and diesel-powered vehicles across the market.

Financial Assets, Consumer Wealth and Market Resilience:
New research on the growth of financial assets and the increasing role of the wealth effect in supporting consumer spending. The discussion highlights how rising asset values, retirement demographics, and changing buyer profiles may be helping explain the resilience of the automotive market despite affordability challenges and economic uncertainty.

The episode also covers new FTC pricing guidance for dealers, finalized IRS rules surrounding auto loan interest deductions, minimum advertised pricing developments, and the latest legislative effort to require AM radio in new vehicles.

00:00 Intro

01:23 Diesel Price Pressures

02:51 Fed Policy, Inflation and Consumer Impact

05:45 Wholesale Market Updates and the Impact of Higher Fuel Prices

10:52 Financial Assets, Consumer Wealth and Market Resilience

16:32 FTC Pricing Guidance and Dealer Transparency

20:31 IRS Auto Loan Interest Deduction Update

22:37 AM Radio Requirements and Regulatory Costs

23:51 Industry Resilience Amid Regulatory Change

25:24 Outro