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Smoke on Cars
Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke shares his insights on macroeconomic trends, business cycles, demand and the economic factors influencing the automotive industry today.
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Smoke on Cars
Commentary & Voices
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CAMIO
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Smoke On Cars
All
Smoke on Cars
Commentary & Voices
Data Point
Economy & Trends
CAMIO
2 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
02/10/2025
Key Highlights The labor market is stable and strong at what is considered full employment. The new vehicle SAAR declined in January, but sales remained higher year over year. The used market saw gains in January, and wholesale used prices increased. Employment Trends The unemployment rate declined, and wage growth accelerated. The labor market is stable and strong at what is considered full employment. Job growth…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
5 min read
Cox Automotive Auto Market Report: Feb. 4
02/04/2025
Cox Automotive’s Auto Market Report video delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current automotive market. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. This video covers a wide range of topics, including consumer spending patterns, consumer sentiment, retail vehicle sales, financing rates, supply dynamics, pricing trends and leading indicators from Cox Automotive’s extensive data ecosystem. Download this week’s presentation…
Read Article
Auto Market Report
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
3 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
02/03/2025
Key Highlights The first estimate of fourth-quarter real GDP showed a slowing pace of growth at 2.3% from the 3.1% rate in the prior quarter, but underneath the total, consumer spending accelerated as spending on goods and services both increased. Consumer spending in December was strong and grew from a strong and upwardly revised November. Personal income growth remained healthy but didn’t grow like spending, so…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
3 min read
No Change in Rate Policy as Fed Waits for Evidence of Shifts
01/30/2025
The Fed left monetary policy unchanged at the conclusion of their first meeting of 2025. This followed three consecutive meetings in the fall of last year in which they reduced the Fed Funds Rate by a full percentage point. The Fed meeting this week offered few new facts or insights about their perspectives. The latest forecasts provided were in December, when their outlook for additional rate…
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Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Commentary & Voices
Economy & Trends
2 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
01/27/2025
Key Highlights Residential construction trends were mixed in December as permits declined and starts increased, but the underlying data suggest growth is ahead for multifamily. Existing home sales increased 2.2% in December, which was better than the 1.2% increase expected and marks the third month of increases. Inventory declined, but prices were stable. The California wildfires are driving increases in jobless claims, which had fallen from…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
5 min read
Cox Automotive Auto Market Report: Jan. 21
01/21/2025
Cox Automotive’s Auto Market Report video delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current automotive market. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. This video covers a wide range of topics, including consumer spending patterns, consumer sentiment, retail vehicle sales, financing rates, supply dynamics, pricing trends and leading indicators from Cox Automotive’s extensive data ecosystem. Download this week’s presentation…
Read Article
Auto Market Report
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
3 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
01/21/2025
Key Highlights Headline inflation accelerated in December as gas prices increased and drove year-over-year inflation higher to 2.9%, but core inflation decelerated and brought core down to 3.2% year over year. Retail sales growth slowed modestly in December from November, but the two months were the two best for year-over-year performance. Vehicle sales outperformed the overall market. Declines in revolving credit, excluding mortgages, drove consumer credit…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
2 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
01/13/2025
Key Highlights Job growth was strong and much better than expected in December, affirming that the labor market has stabilized. The new-vehicle seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) improved in December to the best level since April 2021. The used market was flat month over month but remained strong in year-over-year comparison; wholesale used prices declined modestly. Employment Trends Job growth was strong and much better than expected in…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
5 min read
Cox Automotive Auto Market Report: Jan. 7
01/07/2025
Cox Automotive’s Auto Market Report video delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current automotive market. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. This video covers a wide range of topics, including consumer spending patterns, consumer sentiment, retail vehicle sales, financing rates, supply dynamics, pricing trends and leading indicators from Cox Automotive’s extensive data ecosystem. Download this week’s presentation…
Read Article
Auto Market Report
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
3 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
01/06/2025
Key Highlights The auto industry continues to show resilience with strong December and Q4 momentum despite challenges in consumer confidence and purchase plans. The final estimate of the third-quarter real GDP showed a stronger pace of growth than the prior estimate. Plans to purchase a vehicle in the next six months dropped to the lowest level since June, leaving plans down year over year for the…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
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