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Smoke on Cars
Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke shares his insights on macroeconomic trends, business cycles, demand and the economic factors influencing the automotive industry today.
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Smoke On Cars
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5 min read
Cox Automotive Auto Market Report: July 23rd
07/23/2024
Cox Automotive's Auto Market Report video delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current automotive market. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. This video covers a wide range of topics, including consumer spending patterns, consumer sentiment, retail vehicle sales, financing rates, supply dynamics, pricing trends and leading indicators from Cox Automotive's extensive data ecosystem. Download this week’s presentation…
Read Article
Auto Market Report
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
3 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
07/22/2024
Highlights Retail sales for June saw no growth in consumer spending, which was considered favorable compared to the anticipated decline. The auto sector underperformed the rest of the retail market as sales excluding motor vehicles and parts increased 0.4% while sales of motor vehicles and parts declined 2.0%. Residential construction trends took a positive turn in June, with permits and starts surpassing expectations. The annualized rate…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
3 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
07/15/2024
Highlights The inflation rate showed unexpected changes, with core CPI showing a year-over-year decrease, reinforcing the notion that inflation is under control. The used car market showed significant changes, with used retail sales volume decreasing month over month and wholesale vehicle values declining. Auto loan credit accessibility decreased in June, while delinquency and default rates increased. Inflation: Unexpected Decrease Reinforces Control According to the CPI, headline…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
5 min read
Cox Automotive Auto Market Report: July 9th
07/09/2024
Cox Automotive's Auto Market Report video delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current automotive market. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. This video covers a wide range of topics, including consumer spending patterns, consumer sentiment, retail vehicle sales, financing rates, supply dynamics, pricing trends and leading indicators from Cox Automotive's extensive data ecosystem. Download this week’s presentation…
Read Article
Auto Market Report
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
2 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
07/08/2024
Highlights June witnessed a deceleration in job growth, with 206,000 new jobs added — a net decline of 111,000 compared to revised estimates from prior months. The unemployment rate rose to 4.1% from 4%, pointing toward a potentially weak economic scenario that needs scrutiny to avoid a recession. New light-vehicle sales slumped 3.4% year over year in June due to disruptions from CDK's DMS outage. Employment…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
2 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
07/01/2024
Highlights There’s been an upward revision of the first quarter’s real GDP to a 1.4% annualized increase from the previous estimate of 1.3%. Consumer spending growth saw a slight acceleration to 0.2% in May, though weaker than expected. May experienced a slump in new home sales, which were weaker than anticipated, with an 11.3% decrease in month-over-month comparison and a 16.5% decrease in year-over-year comparison. Increased…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
1 min read
2024 Cox Automotive Mid-Year Review Replay Available
06/25/2024
A replay of the 2024 Cox Automotive Mid-Year Review webcast held on Tuesday, June 25, is available below. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke, Senior Economist Charlie Chesbrough, and other members of the Economic and Industry Insights team presented how the auto industry performed in the first half and what’s likely ahead, including updated 2024 Cox Automotive forecasts and the Cox Automotive 1H and June U.S. auto sales forecast. Plus, take…
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sales forecast
Mid-Year Review
U.S. auto sales
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Commentary & Voices
5 min read
Cox Automotive Auto Market Report: June 25th
06/25/2024
Cox Automotive's Auto Market Report video delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current automotive market. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. In this biweekly video, he covers a wide range of topics, including consumer spending patterns, consumer sentiment, retail vehicle sales, financing rates, supply dynamics, pricing trends and leading indicators from Cox Automotive's extensive data ecosystem. Download…
Read Article
Auto Market Report
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
3 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
06/24/2024
Highlights The retail sector saw weak consumer spending, with May's growth of 0.3%, less robust than expected, and a downward revision of April’s growth to a decline of 0.2%. Residential construction trends were negative for May, with a 5.5% decrease in the seasonally adjusted annualized rate of starts. Existing home sales saw a decline of 0.5% in May, marking the third consecutive month of declines. Retail…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
3 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
06/17/2024
Highlights Despite remaining above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, as reported last week, inflation showed signs of potential slowing, being slightly lower than expected. Access to auto credit decreased overall in May, presenting challenges for subprime borrowers. Although loan delinquencies rose in May, a decline in defaults offered some positive news for the auto lending sector. Inflation and Interest Rates The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in…
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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
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