Cox Automotive Forecast: New-Vehicle Sales Pace Strengthens in July as Buyers Shrug Off Economic Headwinds
Updated, Aug. 4, 2026: Initial estimates suggest July new-vehicle sales totaled 1.36 million units, with a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 16.3 million. The result was below Cox Automotive’s 16.7 million forecast (below), as sales declined 1.8% year over year…
Cox Automotive Forecast: New-Vehicle Sales Pace Holds Strong Through First Half of 2026 Despite Continued Economic and Policy Uncertainty
Updated, July 2, 2026: Despite persistent economic headwinds, the U.S. new-vehicle market delivered a stronger-than-expected result in June. According to preliminary estimates, June sales likely reached 1.36 million units, up 7.2% year over year. The seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of…
Now Available: Cox Automotive 2026 Mid-Year Review
The Cox Automotive Q2 2026 Mid-Year Review is now available, offering a comprehensive look at how the U.S. auto market is performing through the first half of the year. The Cox Automotive Economic and Industry Insights team breaks down what’s really driving today’s market…
2026 Cox Automotive Forecasts
Cox Automotive provides forecasts on the new and used vehicle markets, leasing, fleet and CPO sales, and the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index. Updates (highlighted) to the full-year 2026 forecasts were announced during the Cox Automotive Q2 2026 Mid-Year Review on June 24,…
Coming Soon: Cox Automotive Mid-Year Review 2026
The Cox Automotive Economic and Industry Insights team will provide their annual Mid-Year Review on Wednesday, June 24, at 11 a.m. EDT, shortly before the auto industry closes the book on the first half of a challenging year. This 60-minute presentation is an opportunity for our analysts and experts to provide…
Cox Automotive Forecast: New-Vehicle Sales Pace in May Expected to Increase, as Buyers Shake off High Fuel Prices, Low Consumer Sentiment
Updated, June 4, 2026: Initial indications suggest the new-vehicle sales pace in May was near 16.1 million, aligned with the Cox Automotive forecast, as outlined below. The sales pace in May was higher year over year for the first time in 2026.…
Cox Automotive Forecast: April New-Vehicle Sales Pace to Reach 16.1 Million, Despite Declining Consumer Sentiment, Rising Economic Uncertainty
Updated May 5, 2026 – April new-vehicle sales finished lower compared to last year, a result that was widely expected. The April sales pace is now estimated at 15.9 million, slightly below the 16.1 million forecast Cox Automotive issued prior…
Replay Available: Cox Automotive Q1 2026 Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call
A replay of the Cox Automotive Q1 2026 Industry Insights and Forecast Call held on Wednesday, Mar. 25, is available. The Cox Automotive Economic and Industry Insights team delivered their perspective on the health of the U.S. automotive industry, focusing on the new, used…
Cox Automotive Forecast: New-Vehicle Sales Pace to Hold Steady in March, Despite the Uncertainty of War in the Middle East
Updated, April 2, 2026: New-vehicle sales momentum improved in the final weeks of March, finishing stronger than Cox Automotive had forecasted. Early estimates suggest March new-vehicle sales will come in at approximately 1.4 million units, down nearly 12% year over year, a smaller decline than the roughly 14% drop outlined in the initial forecast.…
Presentation Available: Cox Automotive Q1 2026 Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call
The Cox Automotive Q1 2026 Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call will be held today, March 24th, at 11 a.m. EDT. The presentation is available for download. The Economic and Industry Insights team will deliver a update on the U.S.…
Cox Automotive Forecast: February New-Vehicle Sales Rebound from Weather-Hit January but Fall Short of Last Year
Updated, March 4, 2026: February’s seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) is now being estimated at 15.8 million, near Cox Automotive’s original forecast of 15.6 million and an improvement from January’s weather-impacted pace. February sales volume totaled 1.20 million, up 8.5%…
Cox Automotive Forecast: New-Vehicle Sales Slow in January, as Harsh Winter Weather and Economic Headwinds Hit Market
Updated, Feb. 4, 2026 – January new‑vehicle sales slowed more than expected as harsh winter weather across large parts of the eastern U.S. in the final week disrupted shopping activity. The seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of sales is estimated…