2026 Cox Automotive Forecasts
Cox Automotive provides forecasts on the new and used vehicle markets, leasing, fleet and CPO sales, and the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index. Updates (highlighted) to the full-year 2026 forecasts were announced during the Cox Automotive Q2 2026 Mid-Year Review on June 24,…
Cox Automotive Forecast: April New-Vehicle Sales Pace to Reach 16.1 Million, Despite Declining Consumer Sentiment, Rising Economic Uncertainty
Updated May 5, 2026 – April new-vehicle sales finished lower compared to last year, a result that was widely expected. The April sales pace is now estimated at 15.9 million, slightly below the 16.1 million forecast Cox Automotive issued prior…
Replay Available: Cox Automotive Q1 2026 Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call
A replay of the Cox Automotive Q1 2026 Industry Insights and Forecast Call held on Wednesday, Mar. 25, is available. The Cox Automotive Economic and Industry Insights team delivered their perspective on the health of the U.S. automotive industry, focusing on the new, used…
Cox Automotive Forecast: New-Vehicle Sales Pace to Hold Steady in March, Despite the Uncertainty of War in the Middle East
Updated, April 2, 2026: New-vehicle sales momentum improved in the final weeks of March, finishing stronger than Cox Automotive had forecasted. Early estimates suggest March new-vehicle sales will come in at approximately 1.4 million units, down nearly 12% year over year, a smaller decline than the roughly 14% drop outlined in the initial forecast.…
Presentation Available: Cox Automotive Q1 2026 Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call
The Cox Automotive Q1 2026 Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call will be held today, March 24th, at 11 a.m. EDT. The presentation is available for download. The Economic and Industry Insights team will deliver a update on the U.S.…
Cox Automotive Forecast: February New-Vehicle Sales Rebound from Weather-Hit January but Fall Short of Last Year
Updated, March 4, 2026: February’s seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) is now being estimated at 15.8 million, near Cox Automotive’s original forecast of 15.6 million and an improvement from January’s weather-impacted pace. February sales volume totaled 1.20 million, up 8.5%…
Cox Automotive Forecast: New-Vehicle Sales Slow in January, as Harsh Winter Weather and Economic Headwinds Hit Market
Updated, Feb. 4, 2026 – January new‑vehicle sales slowed more than expected as harsh winter weather across large parts of the eastern U.S. in the final week disrupted shopping activity. The seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of sales is estimated…
Cox Automotive Forecasts New-Vehicle Sales at 15.8 Million, Down From 2025 as Market Fragmentation Slows Growth
ATLANTA, Jan. 6, 2026 – Cox Automotive, the world’s largest automotive services and technology provider, today released its 2026 automotive industry outlook, projecting new-vehicle sales in the U.S. to hit 15.8 million units in 2026, down 2.4% from 2025 levels.…
Replay Available: Cox Automotive Q4 2025 Industry Insights and 2026 Forecast Call
A replay of the Cox Automotive Q4 2025 Industry Insights and 2026 Forecast Call held on Wednesday, Dec. 17, is available. The Cox Automotive Economic and Industry Insights team delivered a final update on the U.S. automotive market, focusing on the new,…
Cox Automotive Forecast: Despite Q4 Slowdown, New-Vehicle Sales Forecast to Reach 16.3 Million in 2025, up Nearly 2% from 2024; Best Result Since 2019
Updated, Jan. 7, 2026 – New-vehicle sales finished December as forecast, down from year-ago levels but higher than November. Initial estimates suggest the Cox Automotive volume forecast of 1.46 million (see below) was spot on, pushing total 2025 sales to…
Presentation Available: Cox Automotive Q4 2025 Industry Insights and 2026 Forecast Call
The Cox Automotive Q4 2025 Industry Insights and 2026 Forecast Call will be held today, Dec. 17, at 11 a.m. EST. The presentation is available for download. The Economic and Industry Insights team will deliver a final update on the…
Cox Automotive Forecast: November U.S. New-Vehicle Sales Expected to Decline 8% Year Over Year as Higher Prices and Slowing EV Sales Hit Market
Updated, Dec. 4, 2025 – Early reports suggest November new-vehicle sales came in lower year over year, same story as October: A slowing market. Initial estimates suggest the sales pace, or seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), in November was 15.6…