The Auto Market Brief – Ep. #15

What happens when consumer spending slows, purchasing power comes under pressure, and automakers adjust their strategies to match a changing market?

In this episode of The Auto Market Brief, Erin Keating and Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jeremy Robb break down the latest economic data, including consumer spending, wage growth, inflation, interest rates, and vehicle sales. While some indicators suggest consumers are becoming more cautious, the broader automotive market continues to show resilience amid changing economic conditions.

Key Takeaways

Consumer spending is showing signs of slowing:
Recent spending data has softened, with retail sales coming in below expectations and consumer spending growth turning negative year over year, raising new questions about the strength of consumer demand.

Purchasing power remains under pressure:
Wage growth has remained below inflation for four consecutive months, reducing purchasing power and creating additional challenges for consumers already facing elevated borrowing costs and affordability concerns.

Automakers rethink product, production, and growth strategies:
Automakers continue to adjust their product, manufacturing, and sourcing strategies as tariffs, trade policy discussions, and supply chain considerations play an increasingly important role in long-term planning.

The conversation also covers inventory trends, used-vehicle values, trade policy developments, manufacturing decisions, and how brands are rethinking growth opportunities in an increasingly dynamic market.

00:00 Intro

01:27 An Update on Cox Enterprises

03:22 The Latest Jobs Report and Inflation Metrics

06:28 Are the Latest Economic Readings A Warning Sign?

08:40 The C-Shaped Economy and Affordability Pressures

09:55 Manheim Values and Used Vehicle Trends

14:33 A Cautious Outlook for the Economy

16:28 An Update on New Inventory

18:03 Ford’s Product Strategy Evolves

22:26 Volkswagen’s Push to Better Align With U.S. Buyers

31:00 Lincoln’s Manufacturing Shift

24:38 Aston Martin’s Brand Play

27:42 Outro