Market Insights – Cox Automotive Inc.

Cox Automotive Forecast: May Auto Sales Expected to Fall to Slowest Pace in 2022 05/25/2022 UPDATED, June 2, 2022 – May new-vehicle sales came in lower than the Cox Automotive forecast issued last week. Our team was expecting a year-over-year volume decline of roughly 28%; results indicate a drop of more than 29%. Auto sales in May are traditionally quite strong, spurred in part by the long Memorial Day Weekend. But that was not the case this year. Overall new-vehicle buying… Read Article

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Cox Automotive Forecast: No Relief in Sight as Slow New-Vehicle Sales Persist in April 04/27/2022 UPDATED, May 3, 2022 – While April sales are still being tallied by our teams, initial projections indicate total sales will come in near 1.2 million, down more than 20% from year-ago levels and very near our forecast released last week. As Cox Automotive Senior Economist Charlie Chesbrough noted earlier, the new-vehicle inventory situation has not materially changed and continues to hold new-vehicle sales in check.… Read Article

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Cox Automotive Q1 2022 U.S. Auto Sales Forecast and Industry Insights Webcast Replay Available 03/29/2022 A replay of the Cox Automotive Q1 2022 U.S. Auto Sales Forecast and Industry Insights webcast held on Monday, March 28, is available below. Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke, Senior Economist Charlie Chesbrough, and the Industry Insights team presented data and insights to help quantify how the industry performed, reviewed the Cox Automotive first-quarter forecast, and provided an outlook on what to expect going forward.… Read Article

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Cox Automotive March Forecast: Slow March Auto Sales to Cap Weakest Q1 in a Decade 03/28/2022 UPDATED, April 1, 2022 – With a trifecta of issues impacting the new-vehicle market in the first quarter – low inventory, low incentives, high prices – sales have mostly been stuck in low gear. Our Industry Insights team was expecting lower year-over-year sales and spoke to that point during the Q1 2022 U.S. Auto Sales Forecast and Industry Insights webcast earlier this week, and early data… Read Article

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2022 Cox Automotive Forecasts 03/28/2022 Cox Automotive provides forecasts on the new and used vehicle markets as well as leasing, fleet and CPO sales and the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index. The Industry Insights team reviews the forecasts quarterly and updates them as changes in the market dictate. The 2022 forecasts were presented during the Cox Automotive Industry Insights Q1 2022 webcast on March 28. Download the 2022 Forecasts. If you… Read Article

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Cox Automotive February Forecast: Tight Inventory Keeps U.S. Auto Sales From Gaining Traction 02/23/2022 UPDATED, March 2, 2022 – February sales finished near 1.052 million, slightly below the Cox Automotive forecast, as tight new-vehicle inventory held back sales even more than expected. Since August, monthly sales volume has averaged near 1.05 million, and February was no exception. Until available supply at dealerships makes a significant improvement, the Cox Automotive Industry Insights team is forecasting new-vehicle sales will remain stuck at this million-unit level. As… Read Article

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Cox Automotive January Forecast: U.S. Auto Sales Volume Holds Steady, Inventory Levels Remain Tight 01/26/2022 UPDATED, Feb. 3, 2022 – January new-vehicles sales came in at 998,000 according to our best estimates, just slightly below our forecast of 1.01 million, but well within our expectations for the industry. As noted in our forecast release, with inventory tight, sales volumes are stuck in the neighborhood of 1 million units a month. Sales in January were down approximately 10% from January 2021, which… Read Article

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Cox Automotive Forecast: Slow Second Half Holds Full-Year Sales Below 15 Million for Second Straight Year 12/28/2021 UPDATED, Jan. 4, 2022 – Toyota beating General Motors in 2021 is a significant event and will be the dominant headline of 2021 sales reporting. General Motors had been the No. 1, top-selling automaker in the U.S. for generations, so Toyota on top is noteworthy. In all, we expect 2021 to finish near 15 million units, up only 3.5% from 2020. December sales appear to be finishing… Read Article

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Cox Automotive Forecast: November Auto Sales Stuck in Low Gear As Consumers and Dealers Face Tight New-Vehicle Inventory and High Prices 11/29/2021 UPDATED, Dec. 2, 2021 – Based on our data and reports from the industry, it’s clear that November auto sales were well below year-ago levels. The sales pace last month was likely closer to 13 million, below our forecast of 13.4 and significantly lower than November 2020’s pace of 15.9 million. Sales in November were similar to October – slow. The chip shortage continues to constrain… Read Article

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Cox Automotive Forecast: October New-Vehicle Sales Expected To Slow For Sixth Straight Month 10/27/2021 UPDATED, Nov. 3, 2021 – With new-vehicle inventory levels hovering around 1 million units in October, less than half the level of one year ago, the Cox Automotive Industry Insights team forecasted another month of relatively slow new-vehicle sales in October. And indeed, sales were down notably from one year ago, with some brands dropping more than 30% compared to October 2020. Final results will be… Read Article

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