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2 min read
Cox Automotive Forecast: New-Vehicle Sales Pace Remains Muted Despite Higher Inventory Levels
11/24/2023
ATLANTA, Nov. 24, 2023 – November new-vehicle sales, when announced next week, are expected to show gains over last year’s product-constrained market. According to the Cox Automotive forecast released today, sales volume is expected to rise 6.5% over November 2022 when the market was in the early stages of recovery from severe product shortages. The seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), or sales pace, is expected to finish near…
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new-vehicle sales
sales forecast
SAAR
Press Releases
4 min read
Cox Automotive Forecast: Despite Ongoing UAW Strike, U.S. Auto Sales Pace in October Expected to Increase from September
10/25/2023
Updated, Nov. 2, 2023 – October new-vehicle sales in the U.S. continued showing healthy results, as forecast by Cox Automotive late last month, with enough buyers shrugging off high loan rates and staying in market. Initial estimates show that the seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), or sales pace, came in right at the year-to-date average of 15.5 million, and sales volume was 1.20 million in October,…
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new-vehicle sales
sales forecast
SAAR
Press Releases
1 min read
Q3 2023 Cox Automotive Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call Replay Available
09/26/2023
A replay of the Q3 2023 Cox Automotive Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call held on Tuesday, Sept. 26, is available below. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke and the Economic and Industry Insights team shared data and insights regarding the performance of the consumer, industry, and economy in the third quarter, including updated 2023 Cox Automotive forecasts and the Cox Automotive Q3 and September U.S. auto sales forecast. Plus, take a listen to DJ…
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sales forecast
U.S. auto sales
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Commentary & Voices
1 min read
2023 Cox Automotive Forecasts
09/26/2023
Cox Automotive provides forecasts on the new and used vehicle markets as well as leasing, fleet and CPO sales and the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index. The Economic and Industry Insights team reviews the forecasts quarterly and updates them as changes in the market dictate. The updated 2023 forecasts were presented during the Cox Automotive Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call on Sept. 26. Note: For…
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sales forecast
U.S. auto sales
Market Insights
Data Point
7 min read
New-Vehicle Market Shrugs Off High Loan Rates, UAW Strike, Closes Q3 on a Strong Note; September Sales Forecast by Cox Automotive to be Up 13% Year Over Year
09/26/2023
Updated, Oct. 4, 2023 – As forecast by Cox Automotive late last month, new-vehicle sales in Q3 in the U.S. were solid, spurred on by vastly improved inventories, higher fleet sales and consumers still in market despite elevated prices and high auto loan rates. Initial estimates suggest the Q3 new-vehicle market finished slightly above Cox Automotive’s 15%, 3.93 million forecast, up from 3.42 million in Q3…
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new-vehicle sales
sales forecast
SAAR
Press Releases
1 min read
Q3 2023 Cox Automotive Industry Insights and Sales Forecast Call Presentation Available
09/26/2023
The Q3 Cox Automotive Industry Insights and Sales Forecast call will be hosted today, Sept. 26, at 11 a.m. EDT, shortly before the auto industry closes the book on the third quarter. Join Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke, Stephanie Valdez-Streaty, director of Industry Insights, Senior Economist Charlie Chesbrough, plus Chris Frey and Jonathan Gregory, senior managers of Economic and Industry Insights, to hear how the auto industry performed in the third quarter…
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sales forecast
U.S. auto sales
Market Insights
Commentary & Voices
3 min read
Cox Automotive Forecast: With New-Vehicle Inventory at a Two-Year High, August Auto Sales Expected to Increase Nearly 19% Year Over Year
08/24/2023
ATLANTA, Aug. 24, 2023 – New-vehicle sales, when announced next week by automakers, are expected to once again show big gains over last year but a slight decline in the sales pace from last month. A key reason for the volume gain is new-vehicle inventory hitting its highest level in more than two years. Stronger fleet sales are also expected to support higher sales volumes. The…
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new-vehicle sales
sales forecast
SAAR
Press Releases
5 min read
Cox Automotive Forecast: New-Vehicle Sales Accelerate in July
07/26/2023
Update, Aug. 2, 2023 – New-vehicle sales in July likely came in near 1.30 million, an increase of more than 15% over year-ago levels and very close to the Cox Automotive forecast (below) published last week. (Hat tip to our senior economist.) Vastly increased inventory levels and a general improvement in consumer sentiment are helping fuel stronger sales in the U.S. Recovering fleet business – notably…
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new-vehicle sales
sales forecast
SAAR
Press Releases
1 min read
2023 Cox Automotive Mid-Year Review Replay Available
06/28/2023
A replay of the 2023 Cox Automotive Mid-Year Review webcast held on Tuesday, June 27, is available below. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke, Senior Economist Charlie Chesbrough, plus Chris Frey and Jonathan Gregory, senior managers of Economic and Industry Insights, presented how the auto industry performed in the first half and what’s likely ahead, including updated 2023 Cox Automotive forecasts and the Cox Automotive 1H and June U.S. auto sales forecast.…
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sales forecast
Mid-Year Review
U.S. auto sales
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Commentary & Voices
1 min read
2023 Cox Automotive Mid-Year Review Presentation Available
06/27/2023
The 2023 Cox Automotive Mid-Year Review was held on Tuesday, June 27. The presentation is available for download. Download the Presentation. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke, Senior Economist Charlie Chesbrough plus Chris Frey and Jonathan Gregory, senior managers of Economic and Industry Insights, presented how the auto industry performed in the first half and how the team sees the industry progressing the remainder of the year. The speakers were…
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sales forecast
Mid-Year Review
U.S. auto sales
Market Insights
Commentary & Voices
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