Welcome to the monthly Manheim Market Insights update. This month, Mark Schirmer. director of Corporate Communications at Cox Automotive, is filling in for Kevin Chartier, vice president of Manheim Market Insights, who is retiring from Manheim. In January, Jeremy Robb, senior director of Business Intelligence, will be picking up the narrative for this monthly check-in … Continued
The video below is part of a biweekly Auto Market Report series focusing on data and insights that provide a holistic view of the auto industry. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. Download this week’s presentation.
My daughter and I love staring contests. Our rules are the same as everyone’s—whoever blinks first loses. Lately, I’ve sensed a similar staring contest emerging in the new car business between consumers, dealers, and automakers. The question is who will blink first? Before 2020, when dealership lots were overflowing with new-vehicle inventory, manufacturers were always … Continued
Service activity and service revenue decreased slightly at U.S. franchised dealerships in November, according to the latest Cox Automotive analysis of Xtime metrics. Both the Repair Order Revenue Index and Repair Order Volume Index decreased slightly month over month, but the revenue metric remains up year over year. The monthly Xtime volume and revenue metrics … Continued
Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix-, mileage-, and seasonally adjusted basis) increased 1.6% from November in the first 15 days of December. The mid-month Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index rose to 202.6, down 14.2% from the full month of December 2021. The non-adjusted price change in the first half of December was a decline of … Continued
Inflation declined in November, according to the Consumer Price Index, but prices remain high. Still worried about inflation, the Fed remains hawkish about pushing rates higher early in 2023 after increasing rates by 50 basis points last week following four straight 75-BPs increases. Auto loan performance deteriorated further in November. The default rate in November … Continued
Revised, Jan. 13, 2023 – Used-vehicle asking prices fell again through the month of November to their lowest average since last spring as inventory stabilized and sales fell, according to the Cox Automotive analysis of vAuto Available Inventory data. 2.33M Total UnsoldUsed Vehiclesas of Nov. 28, 2022 54 Days’ Supply $27,156 Average Listing Price 69,916 … Continued
New-vehicle affordability declined again in November as auto loan rates reached another 20-year high, and the average new-vehicle price increased and set a record, according to the Cox Automotive/Moody’s Analytics Vehicle Affordability Index. The number of median weeks of income needed to purchase the average new vehicle in November increased to 43.3 weeks from 42.8 … Continued
As expected, the Fed raised the target for the Federal Funds Rate by half a percentage point today, which was a smaller increase than the four straight jumbo increases that preceded the latest move. The Fed’s biggest news was that the terminal rate, meaning the ultimate peak in rates for this tightening cycle, will be … Continued
Revised, Jan. 12, 2023 – New-vehicle inventory volume continued to climb through November as production increased and sales slowed, according to Cox Automotive’s analysis of vAuto Available Inventory data. Unfortunately for shoppers, prices climbed in November as well. “Timing is everything,” said Charlie Chesbrough, Cox Automotive’s senior economist. “Production is finally ramping up after being … Continued